ARC-Change

ARCtic Marine Resources under Climate Change:
Environmental, Socio-Economic Perspectives and Governance

 

In the Arctic, higher temperatures and retreating sea ice will redefine boundaries of biological life, ecological structure, and commercial and social opportunities. Complex interactions exist, from the physical impacts in terms of temperature, ocean currents, and sea ice, via biological and ecological adaptations in terms of changing habitats, growth, and species interactions, via social and business enterprises in terms of new fishing areas and trade routes, to governance implications in terms of pressure on existing agreements, surveillance, and commercial activity. ARC-Change will study some of these interlinkages while bringing together expertise from an array of disciplines and institutions.

ARC-Change consists of three major parts. (i) A physical and biological analysis of climate changes in the marine Arctic. (ii) An economic analysis of the governance of shared fisheries in a changing environment. (iii) An analysis of resource governance institutions and law, international as well as national, in an Arctic with greatly reduced summer ice cover and with increased economic activity. The synthesis of the proposed project, drawing on lessons from all three parts, will outline suggestions for robust governance and management institutions and frameworks in the Arctic also in the future. The project will stimulate significant, cross-disciplinary work between institutions and individuals both via existing collaborations and via new networks.  

 

Publications:

  • Kvamsdal, S.F., Dankel, D., Ekerhovd, N.-A., Hoel, A.H., Renner, A., Sandø, A.B., and Steinshamn, S.I. (2022). Multidisciplinary perspectives on living marine resources in the Arctic. Polar Research 41, 7766, (doi: 10.33265/polar.v41.7766).
  • Ekerhovd, N.A., Flåm, S.D. and Steinshamn, S.I. (2020). On Shared Use of Renewable Stocks. European Journal of Operational Research.
  • Ekerhovd, N.A. and Gordon, D.V. (2020). Profitability, Capacity and Productivity Trends in an Evolving Rights Based Fishery: The Norwegian Purse Seine Fishery. Environmental and Resource Economics.
  • Stocker, A.N., A.H.H. Renner, M. Knol-Kauffman. Sea ice variability and maritime activity around Svalbard in the period 2012-2019. Scientific Reports, forthcoming.
  • Kvamsdal, S. F., Sandal, L.K. and Poudel, D. Ecosystem wealth in the Barents Sea. Ecological Economics, forthcoming.
  • Sandø, A.B., Johansen, G.O., Aglen, A., Stiansen, J.E. and Renner, A.H. Climate change and new potential spawning sites for Northeast Arctic cod. Frontiers in Marine Science, forthcoming.
  • Hoel, A.H. (2020). The evolving management of fisheries in the Arctic. In Scott, K. and D. VanderZwaag (eds.): The Edward Elgar Research Handbook of Polar Law. London: Edward Elgar.
  • Kvamsdal, S. F., Maroto, J.M., Moran, M. and Sandal, L.K. Bioeconomic modeling of seasonal fisheries. European Journal of Operational Research, forthcoming.
  • Stocker, A.N. (2019). Sea ice variability: implications for the development of maritime activities around Svalbard. Master thesis, University of Akureyri, University Centre of the Westfjords, Iceland.
  • Ni, Y. and Sandal, L.K. (2019). Seasonality matters: A multi-season, multi-state dynamic optimization in fisheries. European Journal of Operational Research, Vol. 275, no. 2, pp. 648-658.
  • Hoel, A.H. (2018). Northern Fisheries. In: Mark Nuttall, Torben R. Christensen, Martin Siegert: The Routledge Handbook of the Polar Regions.
  • Bjørndal, M.T., Bjørndal, T. and Ekerhovd, N.-A. (2017). Økonomisk analyse av klippfisknæringa. Økonomisk fiskeriforskning: Ledelse, marked, økonomi, 1-13.
  • Kvamsdal, S. F. Indexing of Technical Change in Aggregated Data (2017). Computational Economics, 1-20 (doi: 10.1007/s10614-017-9771-8).
  • Kvamsdal, S. F., Maroto, J.M., Morán, M. and Sandal, L.K. (2017). A bridge between continuous and discrete-time bioeconomic models: Seasonality in fisheries, Ecological Modeling,364, 124-131 (doi: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2017.09.020).
  • Hoel, A.H. (2017). The 5+5 process in Arctic fisheries. In: R.W. Corell, Jong Deog Kim, Yoon Hyung Kim, Oran R. Young: The Arctic in World Affairs: A North Pacific Dialogue on Arctic Futures, pp. 127-138.

Reports and other communications:

Lectures, conference & workshop presentations:

  • Stocker, A., Renner, A. and Knol-Kauffman, M. (2020). Sea ice variability; Implications for the development of maritime activities around Svalbard. Arctic Frontiers, talk. Tromsø, Norway. 
  • Stocker, A. (2019). Melting sea ice: Implications for the development of maritime activities around Svalbard. Friday lecture (open for general public), Norwegian Polar Institute, Tromsø, Norway.
  • Sandø A.B., Johansen, G.O., Aglen, A., Stiansen, J.E. and Renner, A. (2019). Climate change and new potential spawning sites for Northeast Arctic cod. Workshop on Climate Prediction in the Atlantic-Arctic sector, Bergen, Norway.
  • Stocker, A. (2019). Ice edge retreating: influence on maritime traffic around Svalbard. Poster presentation, Svalbard Science Conference 2019, Oslo, Norway.
  • Stocker, A. (2019). Ice edge retreating: influence on maritime traffic around Svalbard. Presentation, APECS Research in Svalbard workshop, Oslo, Norway.
  • Kvamsdal, S. F. (2019). Arctic marine resources under climate change: Governance, environmental and socioeconomic perspectives. Presentation, SNF Forskerlunsj, Bergen, Norway.
  • Kvamsdal, S. F. (2019). Ecosystem Wealth in the Barents Sea. Presentation, BIOECON 2019, Wageningen, NL.
  • Kvamsdal, S. F. (2019). Ecosystem Wealth in the Barents Sea. Presentation, EAERE 2019, Manchester, UK.
  • Ekerhovd, N.-A. (2019). Managing common species in the Northeast Atlantic. Presentation, The NAAFE 2019 Forum, Halifax, Canada.
  • Kvamsdal, S. F. (2019). Investigating major global threats to marine environments across disciplines. Presentation, SNF Forskerlunsj, Bergen, Norway.
  • Steinshamn, S.I. (2019). Pelagic fisheries in the North-East Atlantic: A multi-species, multi-agent approach. Presentation, Risk, Resilience and Recovery in the Marine Estate, Bergen, Norway.
  • Sandal, L.K. (2019). Contraction approach to optimization problems. Presentation, 2019 World Conference on Natural Resource Modelling, Montréal, Canada.
  • Gordon, D.V. (2019). Production and cost efficiency under a rights based regime: Evidence from the Norwegian purse seine fishery. Presentation, Risk, Resilience and Recovery in the Marine Estate, Bergen, Norway.
  • Kvamsdal, S. F. (2019). Ecosystem Wealth in the Barents Sea. Presentation, Risk, Resilience and Recovery in the Marine Estate, Bergen, Norway.
  • Ekerhovd, N.-A. (2019). Excess capacity and productivity decline in an evolving rights based fishery: The Norwegian purse seine fishery. Presentation, The NAAFE 2019 Forum, Halifax, Canada.
  • Li, Y. (2019). Investigating major global threats to marine environments across disciplines. Presentation, NHH workshop, Bergen, Norway.
  • Stocker, A. (2019). Ice edge retreating: influence on maritime traffic around Svalbard. Presentation, Arctic Frontiers 2019, Tromsø, Norway.
  • Kvamsdal, S. F. (2019). Ecosystem wealth in the Barents Sea. Presentation, Arctic Frontiers 2019, Tromsø, Norway.
  • Kvamsdal, S. F. (2018). Marine ecosystem wealth and ocean warming. Presentation, SNF Forskerlunsj, Bergen, Norway.
  • Liu, Y. (2018). Modelling changes in Economics of Fisheries in the Arctic under Climate Change. Presentation, Bergen Fisheries Economics Workshop 2018, Bergen, Norway.
  • Dankel, D. (2018). The REGIMES project. Presentation, Bergen Fisheries Economics Workshop 2018, Bergen, Norway.
  • Grainger, G. (2018). Allocating catch shares based on merit. Presentation, Bergen Fisheries Economics Workshop 2018, Bergen, Norway.
  • Alizadeh, T. (2018). Harvest trails: Geographical fragmentation and seasonal variation in CPUE of cod fisheries. Presentation, Bergen Fisheries Economics Workshop 2018, Bergen, Norway.
  • Hoel, A.H. (2018). The Arctic fisheries agreement. Presentation, Bergen Fisheries Economics Workshop 2018, Bergen, Norway.
  • Abe, K. (2018). A dynamic model of fishing cruise duration. Presentation, Bergen Fisheries Economics Workshop 2018, Bergen, Norway.
  • Ni, Y. (2018). Seasonality matters: a multi-season, multi-state dynamic optimization model. Presentation, Bergen Fisheries Economics Workshop 2018, Bergen, Norway.
  • Ishimura, G. (2018). Reconsider fishery resource policy for Japanese fisheries - Application for upside model analysis & development of the portfolio approach. Presentation, Bergen Fisheries Economics Workshop 2018, Bergen, Norway.
  • Quaas, M. (2018). Deregulating gear selectivity in catch-share fisheries: A comparison of biomass and number quotas. Presentation, Bergen Fisheries Economics Workshop 2018, Bergen, Norway.
  • Sandø, A.B. (2018). Climate change and new potential spawning sites for cod. Presentation, Bergen Fisheries Economics Workshop 2018, Bergen, Norway.
  • Toumasatos, E. (2018). Strategic trade and fishing. Presentation, Bergen Fisheries Economics Workshop 2018, Bergen, Norway.
  • Kvamsdal, S. F. (2018). The ARC-Change project. Presentation, Bergen Fisheries Economics Workshop 2018, Bergen, Norway.
  • Ekerhovd, N.-A. (2018). Three species and three agents on a common ground. Presentation, SNF Forskerlunsj, Bergen, Norway.
  • Stiansen, J.E. et al. (2018). Fisheries in a warming Arctic - Distribution shifts in commercial fish stocks and consequences at different scales. Presentation, Arctic Frontiers 2018, Tromsø, Norway.
  • Ekerhovd, N.-A. (2018). Marine food webs, environmental variability, and costal state conflicts: A game theoretic analysis, IIFET Conference, Seattle, US.
  • Gordon, D.V. (2018). Profit and Price Effects in a Rights Based Regime, IIFET Conference, Seattle, US.
  • Kvamsdal, S. F. (2018). Ecosystem wealth in the Barents Sea. Presentation, NAERE Conference, Bergen, Norway.
  • Ekerhovd, N.-A. (2018). Profit and Price Effects in a Rights Based Regime, NAERE Conference, Bergen, Norway.
  • Kvamsdal, S. (2018). Ecosystem wealth in the Barents Sea. Presentation, Samfunnsøkonomenes Forskermøte 2018, Bergen, Norway.
  • Lindroos, M. (2017). Co-management & cooperative self-enforcement. Presentation, Bergen Fisheries Economics Workshop 2017, Bergen, Norway.
  • Steinshamn, S.I. (2017). Three species and three agents on a common ground. Presentation, Bergen Fisheries Economics Workshop 2017, Bergen, Norway.
  • Gordon, D.V. (2017). A Short-Run ARDL/EC Bounds forecasting model for the price of lobster. Presentation, Bergen Fisheries Economics Workshop 2017, Bergen, Norway.
  • Kvamsdal, S. F. (2017). Ecosystem wealth in the Barents Sea. Presentation, Bergen Fisheries Economics Workshop 2017, Bergen, Norway.
  • Kvamsdal, S. F. (2017). Ecosystem wealth in the Barents Sea. Presentation, SNF Forskerlunsj, Bergen, Norway.
  • Kvamsdal, S. F. (2017). Bioeconomic modelling of seasonal fisheries. Presentation, 24th Ulvön Conference on Environmental Economics, Ulvön, Sweden.
  • Renner, A.H.H. (2017). Arctic Marine Resources and Climate Change: Environmental, Socio-Economic Perspectives and Governance, Poster presentation, ESSAS Conference, Tromsø, Norway.
  • Sandal, L.K. (2017). A Contraction Approach to discrete Multi-Periodic and Multi-State Optimization with Infinite Horizon. Presentation, 2017 World Conference on Natural Resource Modeling, Barcelona, Spain.
  • Kvamsdal, S. (2017). Bioeconomic modelling of seasonal fisheries. Presentation, SNF Forskerlunsj, Bergen, Norway.
  • Hoel, A.H. (2017). How can scientists and policymakers improve their communication. Presentation, The Once and Future Arctic Conference, New York, US.
  • Kvamsdal, S. F. (2017). A contraction approach to periodic optimization problems. Presentation, NAERE Conference, Helsinki, Finland.
  • Ekerhovd, N.-A. (2017). Marine food webs, environmental variability, and coastal state conflicts: A game theoretic analysis. Presentation, NAERE Conference, Helsinki, Finland.
  • Hoel, A.H. (2017). The process towards a fisheries regime for the central Arctic Ocean. Presentation, PAME Meeting, Seattle, US.
  • Ekerhovd, N.-A. (2017). Marine food webs, environmental variability, and coastal state conflicts: A game theoretic analysis. Presentation, NAAFE Forum, La Paz, Mexico.
  • Kvamsdal, S. (2016). Bioeconomic modelling of seasonal fisheries, Presentation, NHH/SNF ENE-lunch, Bergen, Norway.
  • Kvamsdal, S. (2016). ARC-Change. Presentation, Polardag, University in Bergen, Bergen, Norway.   

Events:

Newsletters:


Newsletter no. 6 (2019):

- New publications
- Stakeholder workshop
- Master's thesis by Alexandra N. Stocker
- Workshops & meetings

Newsletter no. 5 (2019):
- New publication
- Warming ocean north of Svalbard
- Bergen Fisheries Economics Workshop 2018
- Arctic Frontiers 2019

Newsletter no. 4 (2018):
- New publication
- Ocean sustainability under global change
- The 10th anniversary of the Ilulissat Declaration
- Workshops & meetings

Newsletter no. 3 (2017):
- New publications
- Alf Håkon Hoel on "Our Ocean"
- Workshops & Meetings

Newsletter no. 2 (2017):
- Aftenposten article on Svalbard climate
- Special session at the NAAFE Forum 2017
- Workshops & Meetings

Newsletter no. 1 (2016):
- The core research team
- ARC-Change work packages
- Kick-off in Tromsø

Results report:

Core research team:

Angelika Renner (researcher, IMR)
Nils-Arne Ekerhovd (researcher, SNF)
Alf Håkon Hoel (professor, UiT)
Sturla Kvamsdal (researcher, SNF), project leader


Research groups at both IMR, NHH, as well as individual researchers from several international institutions, also take part in the Project.

 

Core research team (from left): Sturla Kvamsdal, Nils-Arne Ekerhovd, Alf Håkon Hoel, Angelika Renner 

 

Main project partners: 

      

   ARC-Change is funded by the Research Council of Norway (project no. 257630)